Tom Davidson

Karma: 1,446

Could one country outgrow the rest of the world?

Tom Davidson21 Aug 2025 15:32 UTC

45 points

23 comments17 min readLW link

(newsletter.forethought.org)

Thoughts on Gradual Disempowerment

Tom Davidson15 Aug 2025 11:56 UTC

62 points

32 comments19 min readLW link

How quick and big would a software intelligence explosion be?

Tom Davidson and tom_houlden

22 Jul 2025 12:58 UTC

42 points

22 comments34 min readLW link

(www.forethought.org)

The Industrial Explosion

rosehadshar and Tom Davidson

26 Jun 2025 14:41 UTC

124 points

66 comments15 min readLW link

(www.forethought.org)

AI-enabled coups: a small group could use AI to seize power

Tom Davidson, Lukas Finnveden and rosehadshar

16 Apr 2025 16:51 UTC

132 points

23 comments7 min readLW link

Will compute bottlenecks prevent a software intelligence explosion?

Tom Davidson4 Apr 2025 17:41 UTC

77 points

25 comments12 min readLW link

Will the Need to Retrain AI Models from Scratch Block a Software Intelligence Explosion?

Tom Davidson28 Mar 2025 14:12 UTC

10 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

Will AI R&D Automation Cause a Software Intelligence Explosion?

Tom Davidson and Daniel_Eth

26 Mar 2025 18:12 UTC

19 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

(www.forethought.org)

Three Types of Intelligence Explosion

rosehadshar, Tom Davidson and wdmacaskill

17 Mar 2025 14:47 UTC

40 points

8 comments3 min readLW link

(www.forethought.org)

Forethought: a new AI macrostrategy group

Max Dalton, Tom Davidson, wdmacaskill and AmritSidhu-Brar

11 Mar 2025 15:39 UTC

20 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

Could Advanced AI Accelerate the Pace of AI Progress? Interviews with AI Researchers

jleibowich, Nikola Jurkovic and Tom Davidson

3 Mar 2025 19:05 UTC

41 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

(papers.ssrn.com)

Human takeover might be worse than AI takeover

Tom Davidson10 Jan 2025 16:53 UTC

147 points

56 comments8 min readLW link

(forethoughtnewsletter.substack.com)

Should there be just one western AGI project?

rosehadshar and Tom Davidson

3 Dec 2024 10:11 UTC

78 points

75 comments15 min readLW link

(www.forethought.org)

Takeoff speeds presentation at Anthropic

Tom Davidson4 Jun 2024 22:46 UTC

93 points

0 comments25 min readLW link

Let’s use AI to harden human defenses against AI manipulation

Tom Davidson17 May 2023 23:33 UTC

35 points

7 comments24 min readLW link

Which AI outputs should humans check for shenanigans, to avoid AI takeover? A simple model

Tom Davidson27 Mar 2023 23:36 UTC

16 points

3 comments8 min readLW link

What a compute-centric framework says about AI takeoff speeds

Tom Davidson23 Jan 2023 4:02 UTC

188 points

30 comments16 min readLW link 1 review

Limitations of Laplace’s rule of succession

Tom Davidson19 Apr 2022 0:27 UTC

35 points

2 comments6 min readLW link

Some thoughts on David Roodman’s GWP model and its relation to AI timelines

Tom Davidson19 Jul 2021 22:59 UTC

32 points

1 comment8 min readLW link