Commander Zander
2024 Review: I disagree with the premise that long timelines are unlikely BUT i think this post is fairly sane & sober, given that premise.
BTW, i put together a timeline of concrete predictions in AI 2027, for anyone keeping an eye on them as we enter next year: https://alexpear.github.io/pages/ai-2027.html
As Cole Wyeth said, the 2025 predictions were not radical (in other words, they were good predictions), but the 2026 ones anticipate very extreme productivity gains.
Every Universe Thinks It’s the Realest One
Okay, i found a solution that seems to work: https://www.greaterwrong.com/users/commander-zander?show=posts&format=rss
And you can get a link that includes comments too by changing the mode on this page: https://www.greaterwrong.com/users/commander-zander?show=posts
[Question] RSS feed for 1 LW user?
Cyberpunk Yoga
My spelling peculiarities:
I prefer not to capitalize the pronoun i.
I prefer to always use a instead of an.
I avoid gendered words. Eg i use steelmind/strawmind instead of steelman/strawman.
Too Many Definitions of Consciousness
How to Host a Find Me Party
Twig—Fiction Review
The Lazarus Project—TV Review
Unusually appropriate calendar alignment: January 6 has become a anniversary of infamous unrest in the USA. Curiously, the tonally-analogous Feast of Fools scene in Hunchback of Notre Dame (novel) is also on January 6.
I’m no expert; I’ve never been there. I merely talked to someone from Seattle a couple weeks ago.
Notes on Meetup Ideas
Playlist Inspired by Manifest 2024
I see. I at first assumed your ‘effectively dead’ meant ‘biologically alive, but certain to die soon’.
Thank you for the info!
Most Questionable Details in ‘AI 2027’
I think it’s indeed humor & indeed singling out a company.
Thanks for organizing this!
I find this parenthetical confusing because it sounds broader than how i expected ‘false positive’ to be defined:
> a 8% false-positive rate (it returns positive 8% of the time even if cancer is absent)