Lawrence Phillips

Karma: 363

The near-term potential of AI forecasting for public epistemics

Lawrence Phillips18 Feb 2026 20:37 UTC

21 points

0 comments16 min readLW link

A Guide For LLM-Assisted Web Research

nikos, dschwarz, Lawrence Phillips and FutureSearch

26 Jun 2025 18:39 UTC

46 points

3 comments7 min readLW link

Contra papers claiming superhuman AI forecasting

nikos, Peter Mühlbacher, Lawrence Phillips and dschwarz

12 Sep 2024 18:10 UTC

182 points

16 comments7 min readLW link

Unit economics of LLM APIs

dschwarz, nikos, Lawrence Phillips and kotrfa

27 Aug 2024 16:51 UTC

43 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

[EAForum xpost] A breakdown of OpenAI’s revenue

dschwarz and Lawrence Phillips

10 Jul 2024 18:09 UTC

57 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

Annual AGI Benchmarking Event

Lawrence Phillips27 Aug 2022 0:06 UTC

24 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

(www.metaculus.com)