I haven’t heard the p zombie argument before, but I agree that is at least some Bayesian evidence that we’re not in a sim.
We don’t know if simulated people will be p zombies
I am not a p zombie [citation needed]
It would be very surprising if sims were not p zombies but everyone in the physical universe is
Therefore the likelihood ratio of being conscious is higher for the real universe than a simulation
Probably 3 needs to be developed further, but this is the first new piece of evidence I’ve seen since I first encountered the simulation argument in like 2005.
I haven’t heard the p zombie argument before, but I agree that is at least some Bayesian evidence that we’re not in a sim.
We don’t know if simulated people will be p zombies
I am not a p zombie [citation needed]
It would be very surprising if sims were not p zombies but everyone in the physical universe is
Therefore the likelihood ratio of being conscious is higher for the real universe than a simulation
Probably 3 needs to be developed further, but this is the first new piece of evidence I’ve seen since I first encountered the simulation argument in like 2005.