RSS

Ape in the coat

Karma: 1,522

The Prob­lem of Coun­terev­i­dence and the Fu­til­ity of Theodicy

Ape in the coat20 Feb 2026 7:36 UTC
2 points
6 comments4 min readLW link
(substack.com)

Ob­ser­va­tions and Complexity

Ape in the coat9 Feb 2026 6:13 UTC
9 points
2 comments3 min readLW link
(apeinthecoat102771.substack.com)

Give Skep­ti­cism a Try

Ape in the coat3 Jan 2026 8:57 UTC
11 points
17 comments3 min readLW link
(apeinthecoat102771.substack.com)

No God Can Help You

Ape in the coat20 Dec 2025 8:32 UTC
36 points
0 comments3 min readLW link
(apeinthecoat102771.substack.com)

The Joke

Ape in the coat29 Nov 2025 10:51 UTC
42 points
28 comments4 min readLW link
(apeinthecoat102771.substack.com)

PTF 102: Con­di­tion­al­iza­tion and Events

Ape in the coat25 Jul 2025 6:07 UTC
8 points
0 comments8 min readLW link

Pre­dic­tion Mar­kets Are Mediocre

Ape in the coat5 Apr 2025 6:54 UTC
3 points
13 comments3 min readLW link

Prob­a­bil­ity The­ory Fun­da­men­tals 102: Ter­ri­tory that Prob­a­bil­ity is in the Map of

Ape in the coat26 Mar 2025 6:40 UTC
10 points
17 comments9 min readLW link

Prob­a­bil­ity The­ory Fun­da­men­tals 102: Source of the Sam­ple Space

Ape in the coat23 Mar 2025 17:23 UTC
12 points
17 comments7 min readLW link

Zom­bies! Sub­stance Dual­ist Zom­bies?

Ape in the coat11 Dec 2024 6:10 UTC
15 points
14 comments6 min readLW link

[Question] What’s the Deal with Log­i­cal Uncer­tainty?

Ape in the coat16 Sep 2024 8:11 UTC
41 points
37 comments2 min readLW link

Dooms­day Ar­gu­ment and the False Dilemma of An­thropic Reasoning

Ape in the coat5 Jul 2024 5:38 UTC
51 points
66 comments7 min readLW link

Se­man­tic Disagree­ment of Sleep­ing Beauty Problem

Ape in the coat8 May 2024 19:09 UTC
18 points
10 comments8 min readLW link

[Question] Should you re­fuse this bet in Tech­ni­color Sleep­ing Beauty?

Ape in the coat4 Apr 2024 8:55 UTC
16 points
15 comments1 min readLW link

Beauty and the Bets

Ape in the coat27 Mar 2024 6:17 UTC
18 points
31 comments12 min readLW link

The Solu­tion to Sleep­ing Beauty

Ape in the coat4 Mar 2024 6:46 UTC
18 points
77 comments13 min readLW link

Les­sons from Failed At­tempts to Model Sleep­ing Beauty Problem

Ape in the coat20 Feb 2024 6:43 UTC
13 points
18 comments14 min readLW link

Why Two Valid An­swers Ap­proach is not Enough for Sleep­ing Beauty

Ape in the coat6 Feb 2024 14:21 UTC
6 points
12 comments6 min readLW link

[Question] Has any­one ac­tu­ally changed their mind re­gard­ing Sleep­ing Beauty prob­lem?

Ape in the coat30 Jan 2024 8:34 UTC
15 points
50 comments1 min readLW link

Another Non-An­thropic Para­dox: The Un­sur­pris­ing Rare­ness of Rare Events

Ape in the coat21 Jan 2024 15:58 UTC
21 points
16 comments6 min readLW link