But, New York is exceptionally safe.
alicey
Karma: 85
oh, sure
i’m into epistemic rationality, but this all seems pretty much accurate and stuff
not sure what to conclude from having that reaction to this post.
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revisiting this, i consider that perhaps i am likely to discard parts of the frame message and possibly outer message—because, to me of course it’s a message, and to me of course the meaning of (say) “belief” is roughly what http://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Belief says it is
improving signal to noise, holding the signal constant, is brevity
when brevity impedes communication, but only with a subset of people, then the reduced signal is because they’re not good at understanding brief things, so it is worth not being brief with them, but it’s not fun
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i tend to express ideas tersely, which counts as poorly-explained if my audience is expecting more verbiage, so they round me off to the nearest cliche and mostly downvote me
i have mostly stopped posting or commenting on lesswrong and stackexchange because of this
like, when i want to say something, i think “i can predict that people will misunderstand and downvote me, but i don’t know what improvements i could make to this post to prevent this. sigh.”
revisiting this on 2014-03-14, i consider that perhaps i am likely to discard parts of the frame message and possibly outer message—because, to me of course it’s a message, and to me of course the meaning of (say) “belief” is roughly what http://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Belief says it is
for example, i suspect that the use of more intuitively sensible grammar in this comment (mostly just a lack of capitalization) often discards the frame-message-bit of “i might be intelligent” (or … something) that such people understand from messages (despite this being an incorrect thing to understand)
this is why i like ¬
script your keyboard! make it so that the chords ~1 and 1~ output a ‘¬’! or any other chord, really
if this actually sounds interesting and you use windows you can grab my script at https://github.com/alice0meta/userscripts/tree/master/ahk
note: “life expectancy used to be ~30” is a common misconception (it’s being skewed by infant mortality) (life expectancy has gone up a lot, just not that much)
(as far as i know. i’ve been told that it’s a common misconception that this is a common misconception, but they refused to cite sources)
short response is “yeah, sure, sorta … but only if you’re a stupid group. we can do better.”
edit: http://lesswrong.com/lw/jop/a_defense_of_senexism_deathism/akk3 is the longer version of this response
why yes
clusters can overlap, and the word “more like” uses different clusters of clusters depending on context
she who wears the magic bracelet of future-self delegation http://i.imgur.com/5Bfq4we.png prefers to do as she is ordered
i can find many sources claiming the opposite (for example, http://books.google.com/books?id=EFI7tr9XK6EC&pg=PA62&dq=life+expectancy+ancient+rome+infant+mortality&hl=en&sa=X&ei=zniRUKH5Ae--2AW6sIDICQ&ved=0CEEQ6AEwBw#v=onepage&q=life%20expectancy%20ancient%20rome%20infant%20mortality&f=false http://books.google.com/books?id=zlsaLgBdLF8C&pg=PA44&dq=ancient+world+life+expectancy+compared&hl=en&sa=X&ei=JhyEUaKhEqmiiQKZ0YCoBQ&ved=0CDoQ6AEwAQ#v=onepage&q=ancient%20world%20life%20expectancy%20compared&f=false ) and few agreeing with you
cite?
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have edited original comment to address this.
(thought it was obvious)
have edited original comment . does it address this?
in http://intelligenceexplosion.com/2012/engineering-utopia/ you say “There was once a time when the average human couldn’t expect to live much past age thirty.”
this is false, right?
(edit note: life expectancy matches “what the average human can expect to live to” now somewhat, but if you have a double hump of death at infancy/childhood and then old age, you can have a life expectancy of 30 but a life expectancy of 15 year olds of 60, in which case the average human can expect to live to 1 or 60 (this is very different from “can’t expect to live to >30″) . or just “can expect to live to 60” if you too don’t count infants as really human)
note: shminux is a particularly vocal individual who strongly disagrees with the timeless “block universe” model
But, either way, not much evidence at all.