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AI Risk Skepticism

TagLast edit: Jan 17, 2025, 10:23 PM by Dakara

AI Risk Skepticism is the view that the potential risks posed by artificial intelligence (AI) are overstated or misunderstood, specifically regarding the direct, tangible dangers posed by the behavior of AI systems themselves. Skeptics of object-level AI risk argue that fears of highly autonomous, superintelligent AI leading to catastrophic outcomes are premature or unlikely.

Coun­ter­ar­gu­ments to the ba­sic AI x-risk case

KatjaGraceOct 14, 2022, 1:00 PM
373 points

188 votes

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125 comments34 min readLW link1 review
(aiimpacts.org)

My Ob­jec­tions to “We’re All Gonna Die with Eliezer Yud­kowsky”

Quintin PopeMar 21, 2023, 12:06 AM
363 points

268 votes

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233 comments39 min readLW link1 review

Con­tra Yud­kowsky on AI Doom

jacob_cannellApr 24, 2023, 12:20 AM
90 points

118 votes

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111 comments9 min readLW link

Count­ing ar­gu­ments provide no ev­i­dence for AI doom

Feb 27, 2024, 11:03 PM
101 points

118 votes

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188 comments14 min readLW link

De­cep­tive Align­ment is <1% Likely by Default

DavidWFeb 21, 2023, 3:09 PM
89 points

57 votes

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31 comments14 min readLW link1 review

Many ar­gu­ments for AI x-risk are wrong

TurnTroutMar 5, 2024, 2:31 AM
169 points

144 votes

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87 comments12 min readLW link

Evolu­tion pro­vides no ev­i­dence for the sharp left turn

Quintin PopeApr 11, 2023, 6:43 PM
204 points

151 votes

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65 comments15 min readLW link1 review

Evolu­tion is a bad anal­ogy for AGI: in­ner alignment

Quintin PopeAug 13, 2022, 10:15 PM
84 points

49 votes

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16 comments8 min readLW link

The bul­ls­eye frame­work: My case against AI doom

titotalMay 30, 2023, 11:52 AM
89 points

65 votes

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35 comments17 min readLW link

De­cep­tive Align­ment and Homuncularity

Jan 16, 2025, 1:55 PM
26 points

11 votes

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12 comments22 min readLW link

Ar­gu­ments for op­ti­mism on AI Align­ment (I don’t en­dorse this ver­sion, will re­u­pload a new ver­sion soon.)

Noosphere89Oct 15, 2023, 2:51 PM
28 points

66 votes

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129 comments25 min readLW link

Order Mat­ters for De­cep­tive Alignment

DavidWFeb 15, 2023, 7:56 PM
57 points

19 votes

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19 comments7 min readLW link

Two Tales of AI Takeover: My Doubts

Violet HourMar 5, 2024, 3:51 PM
30 points

13 votes

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8 comments29 min readLW link

Book Re­view: If Any­one Builds It, Every­one Dies

Nina PanicksserySep 19, 2025, 4:50 AM
41 points

12 votes

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1 comment11 min readLW link
(blog.ninapanickssery.com)

BOUNTY AVAILABLE: AI ethi­cists, what are your ob­ject-level ar­gu­ments against AI notkil­lev­ery­oneism?

Peter BerggrenJul 6, 2023, 5:32 PM
18 points

14 votes

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6 comments2 min readLW link

Why I am not an AI ex­tinc­tion cautionista

ShmiJun 18, 2023, 9:28 PM
22 points

33 votes

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40 comments2 min readLW link

Linkpost: A Con­tra AI FOOM Read­ing List

DavidWMar 13, 2023, 2:45 PM
25 points

10 votes

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4 comments1 min readLW link
(magnusvinding.com)

De­con­struct­ing Bostrom’s Clas­sic Ar­gu­ment for AI Doom

Nora BelroseMar 11, 2024, 5:58 AM
16 points

15 votes

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14 comments1 min readLW link
(www.youtube.com)

Too Many Me­taphors: A Case for Plain Talk in AI Safety

David HarketMay 30, 2025, 7:29 PM
0 points

3 votes

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8 comments2 min readLW link

A po­ten­tially high im­pact differ­en­tial tech­nolog­i­cal de­vel­op­ment area

Noosphere89Jun 8, 2023, 2:33 PM
5 points

4 votes

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2 comments2 min readLW link

Tether­ware #2: What ev­ery hu­man should know about our most likely AI future

Jáchym FibírFeb 28, 2025, 11:12 AM
3 points

3 votes

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0 comments11 min readLW link
(tetherware.substack.com)

Blake Richards on Why he is Skep­ti­cal of Ex­is­ten­tial Risk from AI

Michaël TrazziJun 14, 2022, 7:09 PM
41 points

19 votes

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12 comments4 min readLW link
(theinsideview.ai)

[Question] how do the CEOs re­spond to our con­cerns?

KvmanThinkingFeb 11, 2025, 11:39 PM
−10 points

15 votes

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7 comments1 min readLW link

Linkpost: ‘Dis­solv­ing’ AI Risk – Pa­ram­e­ter Uncer­tainty in AI Fu­ture Forecasting

DavidWMar 13, 2023, 4:52 PM
6 points

5 votes

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0 comments1 min readLW link
(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

Lan­guage Agents Re­duce the Risk of Ex­is­ten­tial Catastrophe

May 28, 2023, 7:10 PM
39 points

35 votes

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14 comments26 min readLW link

Why AGI sys­tems will not be fa­nat­i­cal max­imisers (un­less trained by fa­nat­i­cal hu­mans)

titotalMay 17, 2023, 11:58 AM
5 points

16 votes

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3 comments15 min readLW link

[Question] What Do AI Safety Pitches Not Get About Your Field?

ArisSep 22, 2022, 9:27 PM
28 points

8 votes

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3 comments1 min readLW link

AGI Trust Re­quires Hu­man Ma­tu­rity: Reflec­tions from a Mid­night Dialogue on Power and Ethics

MockWayAug 7, 2025, 1:06 AM
1 point

1 vote

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0 comments23 min readLW link

Linkpost: A tale of 2.5 or­thog­o­nal­ity theses

DavidWMar 13, 2023, 2:19 PM
9 points

6 votes

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3 comments1 min readLW link
(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

[Link] Sarah Con­stantin: “Why I am Not An AI Doomer”

lbThingrbApr 12, 2023, 1:52 AM
61 points

19 votes

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13 comments1 min readLW link
(sarahconstantin.substack.com)
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