Link post
This post argues that Carlsmith’s model, and conjunctive AI doom estimates in general, neglect an important statistical consideration that results in an inflated estimate of AI X-risk.
Linkpost: ‘Dissolving’ AI Risk – Parameter Uncertainty in AI Future Forecasting
Link post
This post argues that Carlsmith’s model, and conjunctive AI doom estimates in general, neglect an important statistical consideration that results in an inflated estimate of AI X-risk.