The AI 2027 scenario implicitly assumes that the capabilities of the leading AI (Agent-5 and then Consensus-1), rapidly increase, to the point of gaining godlike economic and destructive powers, while everyone else’s (economic and defensive) capabilities stay in roughly the same place. This is incompatible with the scenario’s own admission (in the infographic) that even in the pessimistic world, we should expect to see cancer and even aging cured, and mind uploading available, by 2029.
I don’t see the contradiction. We didn’t say this one way or another iirc, but my headcanon is that in 2028, the leading AIs + AI companies basically work to gobble up, partner with, or squash their competitors. In the slowdown ending the various US projects merge. In the race ending we don’t really talk about it but I imagine a merger would happen too. So yeah, lots of amazing technologies get developed over the course of 2028 and 2029, but the entities doing the developing are almost all OpenBrain or DeepCent AIs (or derivatives), all working together towards misaligned goals. Massive concentration of power in these two power centers, basically, such that if they can make a deal with each other, the whole rest of the world gets cut out.
I don’t see the contradiction. We didn’t say this one way or another iirc, but my headcanon is that in 2028, the leading AIs + AI companies basically work to gobble up, partner with, or squash their competitors. In the slowdown ending the various US projects merge. In the race ending we don’t really talk about it but I imagine a merger would happen too. So yeah, lots of amazing technologies get developed over the course of 2028 and 2029, but the entities doing the developing are almost all OpenBrain or DeepCent AIs (or derivatives), all working together towards misaligned goals. Massive concentration of power in these two power centers, basically, such that if they can make a deal with each other, the whole rest of the world gets cut out.