I can remember that long ago when I have read Science vs Bayes I wasn’t actually convinced. Because… Yudkowsky didn’t prove that Bayesianism can actually do better. MWI already was mainstream QM in science. So I wasn’t convinced that I actually should choose Bayes for the sake of my sanity.
I changed my mind after reading about P-values vs Bayesian-likelihoods, sure, I need to choose Bayes instead of Science for the sake of my sanity.
I think post about likelihoods will be really useful if linked to Science vs Bayes. And… It wasn’t in my experience, but EDT vs CDT vs TDT probably also will be good example.
Well there was a popperian in scott’s comment section his argument was something like
“How do you know you’re not adopted?”
I think on basis of Bayesian prior and expected utility it’s entirely fine to go about living your life like you’re not.
If I am to be a strict popperian I would have to answer “I don’t know maybe test it” vs “It’s highly unlikely given these reliable reasons which constitute my priors”. I think the pragmatic superiority of the latter is quite evident.
I can remember that long ago when I have read Science vs Bayes I wasn’t actually convinced. Because… Yudkowsky didn’t prove that Bayesianism can actually do better. MWI already was mainstream QM in science. So I wasn’t convinced that I actually should choose Bayes for the sake of my sanity.
I changed my mind after reading about P-values vs Bayesian-likelihoods, sure, I need to choose Bayes instead of Science for the sake of my sanity.
I think post about likelihoods will be really useful if linked to Science vs Bayes. And… It wasn’t in my experience, but EDT vs CDT vs TDT probably also will be good example.
Well there was a popperian in scott’s comment section his argument was something like
“How do you know you’re not adopted?”
I think on basis of Bayesian prior and expected utility it’s entirely fine to go about living your life like you’re not.
If I am to be a strict popperian I would have to answer “I don’t know maybe test it” vs “It’s highly unlikely given these reliable reasons which constitute my priors”. I think the pragmatic superiority of the latter is quite evident.