Every generation seems to think it’s special and will encounter new circumstances that turn old advice on its head.
I have a question, how did you come to know this, especially as a repeatable pattern? I’d really like to know this, because this sounds like one of the more interesting arguments against AI being impactful at all.
I dont think he’s trying to say AI wont be impactful, obviously it will, just that trying to predict it isn’t an activity that one ought apply any surety to. Soothsaying isn’t a thing. Theres ALWAYS been an existential threat right around the corner, gods , devils, dynamite,machine guns, nukes, AGW (that one though might still end up being the one that does in fact do us in if the political winds dont change soon) and now AI. We think that AI might go foom, but there might be some limit we just wont know about till we hit it, and we have various estmations , all contracting, on how bad , or good, it might be for us. Attempting to fix those odds in firm conviction however is not science, its belief.
I have a question, how did you come to know this, especially as a repeatable pattern? I’d really like to know this, because this sounds like one of the more interesting arguments against AI being impactful at all.
I dont think he’s trying to say AI wont be impactful, obviously it will, just that trying to predict it isn’t an activity that one ought apply any surety to. Soothsaying isn’t a thing. Theres ALWAYS been an existential threat right around the corner, gods , devils, dynamite,machine guns, nukes, AGW (that one though might still end up being the one that does in fact do us in if the political winds dont change soon) and now AI. We think that AI might go foom, but there might be some limit we just wont know about till we hit it, and we have various estmations , all contracting, on how bad , or good, it might be for us. Attempting to fix those odds in firm conviction however is not science, its belief.