I just want to surface the hypothesis that known liar Sam Altman could be lying about this. Although seems somewhat unlikely given that it would (probably?) be easy for an OpenAI insider to contradict him.
I want to surface the hypothesis that sometimes, you get a glimmer of hope. While no tweet should be taken prima facie, the tweet alone is above-expectation.
Doesn’t seem like the type of lie that he would tell. It’s a specific actual physical falsifiable-in-practice-if-false claim, not a value statement, personal judgement, expression of future intention, framing on an event, secret known by very few people all of whom can be reliably expected to not share, or anything else lying about which is a free action.
In particular, note that tons of OpenAI employees would know that he’s lying about this. While it’s possible they wouldn’t share publicly, I don’t think he would want to show himself to be so blatant a blatant liar to them all.
He could have “meant” that they’d paused training of that specific model. I would be astonished if they’d at any point stopped running all code that would result in updates to any model’s weights.
Mm, maybe. I haven’t watched the interview yet, I’d need to hear it in context to say more.
… That said, what occurs to me now is that it doesn’t necessarily matter whether OpenAI did what Altman seems to say it did. It’s notable that he even appears to want to make it sound like OpenAI has paused all frontier-model training over this incident. That public-comms move is actually quite extraordinary by itself!
I just want to surface the hypothesis that known liar Sam Altman could be lying about this. Although seems somewhat unlikely given that it would (probably?) be easy for an OpenAI insider to contradict him.
‘We paused training’ is also compatible with having paused training, and then restarted training later.
I want to surface the hypothesis that sometimes, you get a glimmer of hope. While no tweet should be taken prima facie, the tweet alone is above-expectation.
It’s also possible that “pausing training” is a term-of-art that doesn’t mean what the natural language interpretation suggests.
Doesn’t seem like the type of lie that he would tell. It’s a specific actual physical falsifiable-in-practice-if-false claim, not a value statement, personal judgement, expression of future intention, framing on an event, secret known by very few people all of whom can be reliably expected to not share, or anything else lying about which is a free action.
In particular, note that tons of OpenAI employees would know that he’s lying about this. While it’s possible they wouldn’t share publicly, I don’t think he would want to show himself to be so blatant a blatant liar to them all.
He could have “meant” that they’d paused training of that specific model. I would be astonished if they’d at any point stopped running all code that would result in updates to any model’s weights.
Mm, maybe. I haven’t watched the interview yet, I’d need to hear it in context to say more.
… That said, what occurs to me now is that it doesn’t necessarily matter whether OpenAI did what Altman seems to say it did. It’s notable that he even appears to want to make it sound like OpenAI has paused all frontier-model training over this incident. That public-comms move is actually quite extraordinary by itself!