Really enjoyed the post, but in the interest of rationality,
How many more older siblings should patrons of the Chelsea nightclub have than all other men in New York?
This question rests on the false premise(s) (i.e., model misspecification(s)) that homosexuality is only a function of birth order and that the Chelsea nightclub probability doesn’t stem from heavy selection. Relatedly, gwern notes that, “surely homosexuality is not the primary trait the Catholic Church hierarchy is trying to select for.” Maybe this was supposed to be more tongue-in-cheek. But identifying a cause does not require that it sufficiently explain something completely on its own.
Really enjoyed the post, but in the interest of rationality,
This question rests on the false premise(s) (i.e., model misspecification(s)) that homosexuality is only a function of birth order and that the Chelsea nightclub probability doesn’t stem from heavy selection. Relatedly, gwern notes that, “surely homosexuality is not the primary trait the Catholic Church hierarchy is trying to select for.” Maybe this was supposed to be more tongue-in-cheek. But identifying a cause does not require that it sufficiently explain something completely on its own.