Yeah idk, what you say makes sense too. But in at least some cases it seemed like the takeaway they had at the end of the conversation, their overall update or views on timelines, was generated by averaging the plausibility of the various arguments rather than by summing them or doing something more complex.
(And to be clear I’m not complaining that this is unreasonable! For reasons Ronny and others have mentioned, sometimes this is a good heuristic to follow.)
Yeah idk, what you say makes sense too. But in at least some cases it seemed like the takeaway they had at the end of the conversation, their overall update or views on timelines, was generated by averaging the plausibility of the various arguments rather than by summing them or doing something more complex.
(And to be clear I’m not complaining that this is unreasonable! For reasons Ronny and others have mentioned, sometimes this is a good heuristic to follow.)