Recently I’ve been starting to think it could go many other ways than my predictions above suggest. So it’s probably safer to say that the futurist/rationalist predictions are all wrong than that any particular prediction I can make is right.
The main difference being the “NNs fail to work in many ways, no digital human analog for sure, agents stay at the same “plays this one game very well” stage, but a lot of tech progress in other ways”?
Can you give some time horizon on this? Like, 5 years, 10 years, 20 years?
Recently I’ve been starting to think it could go many other ways than my predictions above suggest. So it’s probably safer to say that the futurist/rationalist predictions are all wrong than that any particular prediction I can make is right.
I’m still mostly optimistic though.
The main difference being the “NNs fail to work in many ways, no digital human analog for sure, agents stay at the same “plays this one game very well” stage, but a lot of tech progress in other ways”?