Could you please explain what the second “danger zone” graph means, i.e. what kind of skill could have such a danger zone ?
The first danger zone is pretty clear: this is a skill for which being overconfident is bad. Any skill where failure is expensive falls in that category. Any dangerous sport would be an example, being overconfident could mean death.
The third follows a similar idea, where misplaced confidence is bad.
The second one is intending to showcase a skill where it’s simply dangerous for beginners, period. It’s dangerous to be low-competence, and also it’s dangerous to be low-confidence, and it doesn’t much matter whether your competence and confidence are particularly linked once you’re above moderate on either.
The easiest example coming to mind (but it’s not a particularly good example) is standing backflips. Doing them badly is lethal, and also being underconfident as you attempt them makes lethal failure substantially more likely (the things an underconfident brain tries to do to protect itself during a backflip attempt are counterproductive).
But backflips are not actually particularly hard once you know how to do them, i.e. once you get past three successes.
Could you please explain what the second “danger zone” graph means, i.e. what kind of skill could have such a danger zone ?
The first danger zone is pretty clear: this is a skill for which being overconfident is bad. Any skill where failure is expensive falls in that category. Any dangerous sport would be an example, being overconfident could mean death.
The third follows a similar idea, where misplaced confidence is bad.
The second one is intending to showcase a skill where it’s simply dangerous for beginners, period. It’s dangerous to be low-competence, and also it’s dangerous to be low-confidence, and it doesn’t much matter whether your competence and confidence are particularly linked once you’re above moderate on either.
The easiest example coming to mind (but it’s not a particularly good example) is standing backflips. Doing them badly is lethal, and also being underconfident as you attempt them makes lethal failure substantially more likely (the things an underconfident brain tries to do to protect itself during a backflip attempt are counterproductive).
But backflips are not actually particularly hard once you know how to do them, i.e. once you get past three successes.