Selected Graphics Showing Progress towards AGI

[Chris_Leong]

Except from the upcoming post: Beyond Human Wisdom: Can We Survive the Rise of AGI? Coming soon 😊(PM me if you’d be keen to provide feedback on the draft).

Motivation

Motivating image — View on Life Itself

The 🅂🅄🅅 Triad (the challenge)

🅂peed—in absolute terms and relative to the speed of governance 🅄ncertainty—regarding the situation and strategy 🅅ulnerability—many catastrophic threats that are hard or costly to defend against

Graphs on Progress

View on Metaculus View Goodheart Lab's forecast aggregator A Definition of AGI based on Cattell-Horn-Carroll theory View on Dewi Erwan's Github View at International Scientific Report on the Safety of Advanced AI View on OpenAI Blog View on METR