But if there’s multiple competing AI companies, the German companies providing the physical inputs might capture most of the gains from trade.
I doubt it. How many competing AI companies will there be? It won’t be a perfectly efficient market, and also, superintelligences will be smart enough to coordinate well. There would have to be extremely strong regulation forcing aligned superintelligences to refrain from coordinating to get most of the surplus; otherwise, they’d coordinate and get most of the surplus.
(Analogy: Sure, it’s 1500 and Europeans have good boats now and are about to sail all around the world and initiate a great economic growth followed by industrial revolution. But most of the raw materials and labor in the world is outside Europe! And there are multiple competing European companies and nations! So e.g. American and African and Asian polities providing the physical inputs and labor should capture most of the gains from trade.)
I doubt it. How many competing AI companies will there be? It won’t be a perfectly efficient market, and also, superintelligences will be smart enough to coordinate well. There would have to be extremely strong regulation forcing aligned superintelligences to refrain from coordinating to get most of the surplus; otherwise, they’d coordinate and get most of the surplus.
(Analogy: Sure, it’s 1500 and Europeans have good boats now and are about to sail all around the world and initiate a great economic growth followed by industrial revolution. But most of the raw materials and labor in the world is outside Europe! And there are multiple competing European companies and nations! So e.g. American and African and Asian polities providing the physical inputs and labor should capture most of the gains from trade.)