1) …a pile of prompts/heuristics/scaffolding so disgusting and unprincipled only a team of geniuses could have created it
I chuckled out loud over this. Too real.
Also, regarding that second point, how to you plan to adjudicate the bet? It is worded as “create” here, but what can actually be seen to settle the bet will be the effects.
There are rumors coming out of Google including names like “AlphaCode” and “Goose” that suggest they might have already created such a thing, or be near to it. Also, one of the criticisms of Devin (and Devin’s likelihood of getting better fast) was that if someone really did crack the problem then they’d just keep the cow and sell the milk. Critch’s “tech company singularity” scenario comes to mind.
The bet is with a friend and I will let him judge.
I agree that providing an api to God is a completely mad strategy and we should probably expect less legibility going forward. Still, we have no shortage of ridiculously smart people acting completely mad.
I chuckled out loud over this. Too real.
Also, regarding that second point, how to you plan to adjudicate the bet? It is worded as “create” here, but what can actually be seen to settle the bet will be the effects.
There are rumors coming out of Google including names like “AlphaCode” and “Goose” that suggest they might have already created such a thing, or be near to it. Also, one of the criticisms of Devin (and Devin’s likelihood of getting better fast) was that if someone really did crack the problem then they’d just keep the cow and sell the milk. Critch’s “tech company singularity” scenario comes to mind.
The bet is with a friend and I will let him judge.
I agree that providing an api to God is a completely mad strategy and we should probably expect less legibility going forward. Still, we have no shortage of ridiculously smart people acting completely mad.