I’m not aware of good reasons to think that it’s wrong, it’s more that I’m just not sure it’s the right approach. I mean we can say that it’s a matter of preferences, problem solved, but unless we can also show that we should be anti-realist about these preferences, or what the right preferences are, the problem isn’t really solved. Until we do have a definitive full solution, it seems hard to be confident that any particular approach is the right one.
It seems plausible that treating anthropic reasoning as a matter of preferences makes it harder to fully solve the problem. I wrote “In general, Updateless Decision Theory converts anthropic reasoning problems into ethical problems.” in the linked post, but we don’t have a great track record of solving ethical problems...
I’m not aware of good reasons to think that it’s wrong, it’s more that I’m just not sure it’s the right approach. I mean we can say that it’s a matter of preferences, problem solved, but unless we can also show that we should be anti-realist about these preferences, or what the right preferences are, the problem isn’t really solved. Until we do have a definitive full solution, it seems hard to be confident that any particular approach is the right one.
It seems plausible that treating anthropic reasoning as a matter of preferences makes it harder to fully solve the problem. I wrote “In general, Updateless Decision Theory converts anthropic reasoning problems into ethical problems.” in the linked post, but we don’t have a great track record of solving ethical problems...