Honestly, I’m not sure how explaining Bayesian thinking will help people with understanding media claims.
A key to better understanding of media is to think about the fact that there’s a human writing the article you are reading and that person has their own interests.
Reading good history might be more useful for understanding media than abstract considerations of Bayesian thinking. Roberts Caro The Power Broker is for example a good book that tells you about the history of Robert Moses in New York and how he interacted with the public debate.
Honestly, I’m not sure how explaining Bayesian thinking will help people with understanding media claims.
Sometimes important news are based entirely on the availability bias or the base rate fallacy: knowing them is important to cultivate a critical view of media. To understanding why they are wrong you need probabilistic reasoning. But media awareness is just an excuse, a hook to introduce Bayesian thinking, which will allow me to also talk about how to construct a critical view of science.
Honestly, I’m not sure how explaining Bayesian thinking will help people with understanding media claims.
A key to better understanding of media is to think about the fact that there’s a human writing the article you are reading and that person has their own interests.
Reading good history might be more useful for understanding media than abstract considerations of Bayesian thinking. Roberts Caro The Power Broker is for example a good book that tells you about the history of Robert Moses in New York and how he interacted with the public debate.
Sometimes important news are based entirely on the availability bias or the base rate fallacy: knowing them is important to cultivate a critical view of media. To understanding why they are wrong you need probabilistic reasoning. But media awareness is just an excuse, a hook to introduce Bayesian thinking, which will allow me to also talk about how to construct a critical view of science.