Barack Obama not walking through the door right now decreases my confidence in his existence.
He’s insanely unlikely to walk through my door, but if after all the evidence he manages to not actually exist, the world must be working in a very strange way, in which case it might be the case that his probability of (apparently) walking through my door is greater. Am I missing a simple argument?
You’re making a case that I should have less confidence in Obama’s existence as a result of his walking through the door? I can see where you’re going with it :-)
He’s insanely unlikely to walk through my door, but if after all the evidence he manages to not actually exist, the world must be working in a very strange way, in which case it might be the case that his probability of (apparently) walking through my door is greater. Am I missing a simple argument?
You’re making a case that I should have less confidence in Obama’s existence as a result of his walking through the door? I can see where you’re going with it :-)