Curious if there are any bets you’d make where, if they happened in the next 10 years or so, you’d significantly re-evaluate your models here?
I’d have to think about this more to have concrete bet ideas. Though feel free to suggest some.
Maybe one example is that I think the likelihood of >10% yearly GDP growth in any year in the next 10 years is <10%.
Nod. Does anything in the “AI-accelerated AI R&D” space feel cruxy for you? Or “a given model seems to be semi-reliably be producing Actually Competent Work in multiple scientific fields?”
Curious if there are any bets you’d make where, if they happened in the next 10 years or so, you’d significantly re-evaluate your models here?
I’d have to think about this more to have concrete bet ideas. Though feel free to suggest some.
Maybe one example is that I think the likelihood of >10% yearly GDP growth in any year in the next 10 years is <10%.
Nod. Does anything in the “AI-accelerated AI R&D” space feel cruxy for you? Or “a given model seems to be semi-reliably be producing Actually Competent Work in multiple scientific fields?”