What would it take for you to commission such a poll? If it’s funding, please post about how much funding would be required; I might be able to arrange it. If it’s something else… well, I still would really like this poll to happen, and so would many others (I reckon). This is a brilliant idea that had never occurred to me.
The big challenge here is getting national security officials to respond to your survey! Probably easier with former officials, but unclear how much that’s predictive of current officials’ beliefs.
What would it take for you to commission such a poll? If it’s funding, please post about how much funding would be required; I might be able to arrange it. If it’s something else… well, I still would really like this poll to happen, and so would many others (I reckon). This is a brilliant idea that had never occurred to me.
The big challenge here is getting national security officials to respond to your survey! Probably easier with former officials, but unclear how much that’s predictive of current officials’ beliefs.
Hmm. I know nothing about nothing, and you’ve probably checked this already, so this comment is probably zero-value-added, but according to Da Machine, it sounds like the challenges are surmountable: https://chatgpt.com/share/e/68d55fd5-31b0-8006-aec9-55ae8257ed68