My interpretation is that he’s saying false positives are unlikely but false negatives are common. If that’s the case, then getting a positive result should greatly affect your beliefs; but a negative replication shouldn’t shift them much.
(I can’t actually justify this interpretation by reading the text, but it does make the text seem fairly reasonable.)
My interpretation is that he’s saying false positives are unlikely but false negatives are common. If that’s the case, then getting a positive result should greatly affect your beliefs; but a negative replication shouldn’t shift them much.
(I can’t actually justify this interpretation by reading the text, but it does make the text seem fairly reasonable.)