However, since I don’t expect money to matter much in the event that I win the bet, I ask that the bets be small. I furthermore am worried that by betting on longer timelines people will make themselves psychologically more resistant to updating towards shorter timelines… The same goes for me, of course, making me extra averse to doing this. Idk.
I’m happy to bet on my timelines: https://elicit.org/builder/zKNSxZIhn
However, since I don’t expect money to matter much in the event that I win the bet, I ask that the bets be small. I furthermore am worried that by betting on longer timelines people will make themselves psychologically more resistant to updating towards shorter timelines… The same goes for me, of course, making me extra averse to doing this. Idk.