No. o3 estimates that 60% of American jobs are physical such that you would need robotics to automate them, so if half of those fell within a year, that’s quite a lot.
A lot of jobs that can’t be fully automated have sub-tasks software agents could eliminate. >30% of total labor hours might be spent in front of a computer (EG:data entry in a testing lab and all the steps needed to generate report.) That ignores email and the time savings once there is a good enough AI secretary.
AGI could eliminate almost all of that.
I’d estimate 1.7x productivity for a lab I worked at previously. Effect on employment depends on demand elasticity of course.
A lot of jobs that can’t be fully automated have sub-tasks software agents could eliminate. >30% of total labor hours might be spent in front of a computer (EG:data entry in a testing lab and all the steps needed to generate report.) That ignores email and the time savings once there is a good enough AI secretary.
AGI could eliminate almost all of that.
I’d estimate 1.7x productivity for a lab I worked at previously. Effect on employment depends on demand elasticity of course.