This and other pubs within intelligence analysis were useful for me. There might be some stuff written up somewhere on different things that were tried for having superforecaster teams aggregate methods (the stuff I found here was pretty vague, seemed like they tried a lot of stuff and nothing was a grand slam vs the others). Also, judgemental bootstrapping and deliberate practice have overlap.
Thanks. Any particular key words or fields you’d suggest?
This and other pubs within intelligence analysis were useful for me. There might be some stuff written up somewhere on different things that were tried for having superforecaster teams aggregate methods (the stuff I found here was pretty vague, seemed like they tried a lot of stuff and nothing was a grand slam vs the others). Also, judgemental bootstrapping and deliberate practice have overlap.
https://www.cia.gov/library/center-for-the-study-of-intelligence/csi-publications/books-and-monographs/Tradecraft%20Primer-apr09.pdf