I don’t have an issue with the general purpose of the post. I do think it’s not great to simply state things as true (and in a way that could easily be misinterpreted as spoken from expertise), which simply are not known, and for which the OP doesn’t have any strong evidence. To be fair, I have similar issues with some of Eliezer’s remarks, but at least he has done the work of going through every possible counter argument he can think of.
I don’t have an issue with the general purpose of the post. I do think it’s not great to simply state things as true (and in a way that could easily be misinterpreted as spoken from expertise), which simply are not known, and for which the OP doesn’t have any strong evidence. To be fair, I have similar issues with some of Eliezer’s remarks, but at least he has done the work of going through every possible counter argument he can think of.
Yes, I think that’s a fair critique.