Can you explain the math here? I’m pretty confused about how a system in which people give birth but don’t die could ever have a natural population limit. (If that’s not the part that’s not true, can you clarify?)
Start with 10 billion people in generation 1. They have 10 billion * 1.99/2= 9.95 billion children, spread out over however long generation 1 takes to exhaust its allocation. Generation 2 ( 9.95 billion people) has ~9.9 billion children, generation 3 ~9.85 billion children, generation 100 ~6 billion children, generation 500 ~0.82 billion children, generation 1000 ~66.5 million children, generation 2000 ~443 thousand children, and generation 4593 only one child.
As for social pressures not to give birth until your 10th millenium… how long do you think it’ll take for such a norm to become commonplace?
A few ten thousand years, at least. With child birth being delayed longer and longer in between.
Thank you. I was growing increasingly worried as I read this threadthat no one had bothered with math. Each personhaving 1 children with the small subtraction of those whohave none doesn’t seem a draconian price for immortality.
Start with 10 billion people in generation 1. They have 10 billion * 1.99/2= 9.95 billion children, spread out over however long generation 1 takes to exhaust its allocation. Generation 2 ( 9.95 billion people) has ~9.9 billion children, generation 3 ~9.85 billion children, generation 100 ~6 billion children, generation 500 ~0.82 billion children, generation 1000 ~66.5 million children, generation 2000 ~443 thousand children, and generation 4593 only one child.
A few ten thousand years, at least. With child birth being delayed longer and longer in between.
This is pretty much the answer I was looking for. I’ve updated. Thanks.
Thank you. I was growing increasingly worried as I read this threadthat no one had bothered with math. Each personhaving 1 children with the small subtraction of those whohave none doesn’t seem a draconian price for immortality.