-- If excluding motorcycles and pedestrians, pedalcyclists, and other nonoccupants
137
-- Amongst passenger vehicle occupants only
132
-- Amongst passenger vehicle occupants only, if setting single-car crashes to 0
235
-- Amongst passenger vehicle occupants only, if approximating the seatbelt-wearing only rate
245
-- Amongst passenger vehicle occupants only, if setting single-car crashes to 0 and approximating the seatbelt-wearing only rate
442
-- Amongst passenger vehicle occupants only, if setting single-car crashes to 0 and approximating the seatbelt-wearing only rate and if setting alcohol-impaired, drowsiness-associated, and distraction-associated deaths to 50% of current level (as an approximation of controlling one driver’s behavior in two driver crashes)
Quick examination of miles per micromort for US drivers, with adjustments for safety-increasing behavior
Link post
This post links to a Google Sheet containing a quick investigation into the accuracy of Wikipedia’s figure for miles per micromort (230) for US drivers, when accounting for preventative behaviors.
The following are the main outcome estimates:
This rapid (~1.5 hrs including documentation) investigation was funded by Ruby Bloom via the Bountied Rationality FB group.