I expect some measure of “speciation” to occur, but not as a result of money-lack. Rather, some cultures will reject these techs, and as the cultures that accept these techs drift biologically farther from “base humans,” the more entrenched the social and cultural divisions will be.
It’s a very long-term worry, like hundreds of years.
That’s their choice. And hopefully most individual people will have genomic liberty.
Most people will become more comfortable with using the tech, assuming that it is in fact safe and beneficial. I think de facto Christian views on IVF have shifted a lot in favor, over time.
I’m not sure about this, especially quantitatively, but I think generally speciation is kinda hard to do. Small amounts of gene flow would prevent it, and it would take a long time. Further, the plausible reprogenetics methods I’m aware of, with the exception of whole genome synthesis, would have a strong speed limit. You can affect traits quite a bit, but that goes by affecting something like hundreds or maybe thousands of genetic variants—whereas there are millions or hundreds of thousands of variants in the human genome cloud (depending how you count, e.g. agglomerating haploblocks).
I expect some measure of “speciation” to occur, but not as a result of money-lack. Rather, some cultures will reject these techs, and as the cultures that accept these techs drift biologically farther from “base humans,” the more entrenched the social and cultural divisions will be.
I do think that’s a bit of a worry. But:
It’s a very long-term worry, like hundreds of years.
That’s their choice. And hopefully most individual people will have genomic liberty.
Most people will become more comfortable with using the tech, assuming that it is in fact safe and beneficial. I think de facto Christian views on IVF have shifted a lot in favor, over time.
I’m not sure about this, especially quantitatively, but I think generally speciation is kinda hard to do. Small amounts of gene flow would prevent it, and it would take a long time. Further, the plausible reprogenetics methods I’m aware of, with the exception of whole genome synthesis, would have a strong speed limit. You can affect traits quite a bit, but that goes by affecting something like hundreds or maybe thousands of genetic variants—whereas there are millions or hundreds of thousands of variants in the human genome cloud (depending how you count, e.g. agglomerating haploblocks).