Related: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/YRgMCXMbkKBZgMz4M/asymmetric-justice . In common conversation, people are often judged more harshly for being wrong (or taking action with intended or unintended consequences) than for being silent (or failing to take action). If you’re worried about social judgement of a peer group that doesn’t already have this norm, you’ll likely have to make clear when you’re being intentionally wrong vs actually believing something to be the truth.
Outright lying about your beliefs can backfire, but “strong beliefs, weakly held” is extremely powerful. “I think X, but I’m not sure” works really well in some groups. “I think X’ (a simplification of X)” works well in others. Rarely have I had success with “I think ~X”.
So I’d recommend being willing (again, in some contexts) to make tentative and uncertain statements, in order to learn where people disagree. I’d avoid outright inflammatory known-untruths.
Related: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/YRgMCXMbkKBZgMz4M/asymmetric-justice . In common conversation, people are often judged more harshly for being wrong (or taking action with intended or unintended consequences) than for being silent (or failing to take action). If you’re worried about social judgement of a peer group that doesn’t already have this norm, you’ll likely have to make clear when you’re being intentionally wrong vs actually believing something to be the truth.
Outright lying about your beliefs can backfire, but “strong beliefs, weakly held” is extremely powerful. “I think X, but I’m not sure” works really well in some groups. “I think X’ (a simplification of X)” works well in others. Rarely have I had success with “I think ~X”.
So I’d recommend being willing (again, in some contexts) to make tentative and uncertain statements, in order to learn where people disagree. I’d avoid outright inflammatory known-untruths.