I see… so trolling by patenting something akin to convolutional neural networks wouldn’t work because you can’t tell what’s powering a service unless the company building it tells you.
Maybe something on the lines of “service that does automatic text translation” or “car that drives itself” (obviously not these, since a patent with so much prior art would never get granted) would be a thing that you could fight over?
Certainly if you can predict applications, then you can do as-applied patents. I’m not sure that MIRI or whoever has any particular advantage in predicting applications.
Also, what you can get with a patent is mostly licensing fees. If you try to stop someone from using something, you’re looking at years of litigation. In a fast takeoff scenario that doesn’t actually get you anything—by the time litigation is over, so is the game.
I see… so trolling by patenting something akin to convolutional neural networks wouldn’t work because you can’t tell what’s powering a service unless the company building it tells you.
Maybe something on the lines of “service that does automatic text translation” or “car that drives itself” (obviously not these, since a patent with so much prior art would never get granted) would be a thing that you could fight over?
Certainly if you can predict applications, then you can do as-applied patents. I’m not sure that MIRI or whoever has any particular advantage in predicting applications.
Also, what you can get with a patent is mostly licensing fees. If you try to stop someone from using something, you’re looking at years of litigation. In a fast takeoff scenario that doesn’t actually get you anything—by the time litigation is over, so is the game.