I wonder if it’s less about rate of change (but don’t really take any exception to that claim) and more about divergence of change from expectations. 1950′s or 60′s expectations (at least in pop culture) was flying cars and smart robot house servants—think Jetson’s here.
People of the early 20th Century had the direct experience of living though some very significant events which they probably had not really expected. The future became much more uncertain so receptivity to more possible outcomes probably increases. The situation is a bit different up to now, so I wonder if that doesn’t place greater weight on a view of the future as some trend path with variation but mean-reversion.
I wonder if it’s less about rate of change (but don’t really take any exception to that claim) and more about divergence of change from expectations. 1950′s or 60′s expectations (at least in pop culture) was flying cars and smart robot house servants—think Jetson’s here.
People of the early 20th Century had the direct experience of living though some very significant events which they probably had not really expected. The future became much more uncertain so receptivity to more possible outcomes probably increases. The situation is a bit different up to now, so I wonder if that doesn’t place greater weight on a view of the future as some trend path with variation but mean-reversion.