If by intelligence you mean “we made some tests and made sure they are legible enough that people like them as benchmarks, and lo and behold, learning programs (LPs) continue to perform some amount better on them as time passes”, ok, but that’s a dumb way to use that word. If by intelligence you mean “we have something that is capable via generators sufficiently similar to [the generators of humanity’s world-affecting capability] that we can reasonably induce that these systems are somewhat likely to kill everyone”, then I challenge you to provide the evidence / reasoning that apparently makes you confident that LP25 is at a ~human (village idiot) level of intelligence.
If by intelligence you mean “we made some tests and made sure they are legible enough that people like them as benchmarks, and lo and behold, learning programs (LPs) continue to perform some amount better on them as time passes”, ok, but that’s a dumb way to use that word. If by intelligence you mean “we have something that is capable via generators sufficiently similar to [the generators of humanity’s world-affecting capability] that we can reasonably induce that these systems are somewhat likely to kill everyone”, then I challenge you to provide the evidence / reasoning that apparently makes you confident that LP25 is at a ~human (village idiot) level of intelligence.
Cf. https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5tqFT3bcTekvico4d/do-confident-short-timelines-make-sense