This analysis assumes that the government of Taiwan has no power, that the US is the one to negotiate with. If you are thinking of this, the question is not what deals the US would agree to, but what deal Taiwan would agree to. The US is not actually in a position to veto a reunification agreed between both governments, though they likely would not be able to backstop it either (which creates a little negotiating friction).
All of these concession are concessions to the US. What really matters for a peaceful settlement (since Taiwan can destroy the surplus) is whether the CCP can give meaningful concessions on the terms of reunification with Taiwan.
That is to say, there is no “process to gradually and peacefully hand over Taiwan to China” as an option for the US. It might exist for the government of Taiwan, but because the US does not actually control any of it’s partners among middle powers.
as for “China care more about Taiwan than anybody else. ”
This is false
The US might care less, but the government of Taiwan probably cares more.
This analysis assumes that the government of Taiwan has no power, that the US is the one to negotiate with. If you are thinking of this, the question is not what deals the US would agree to, but what deal Taiwan would agree to. The US is not actually in a position to veto a reunification agreed between both governments, though they likely would not be able to backstop it either (which creates a little negotiating friction).
All of these concession are concessions to the US. What really matters for a peaceful settlement (since Taiwan can destroy the surplus) is whether the CCP can give meaningful concessions on the terms of reunification with Taiwan.
That is to say, there is no “process to gradually and peacefully hand over Taiwan to China” as an option for the US. It might exist for the government of Taiwan, but because the US does not actually control any of it’s partners among middle powers.
as for “China care more about Taiwan than anybody else. ”
This is false
The US might care less, but the government of Taiwan probably cares more.