fundamentally a dangerous and superintelligent AGI could probably run on your laptop
I’m skeptical that this is true, or at least that it could be confidently predicted to be true based on our current understanding of intelligence. My understanding is that the human brain is much larger in “effective parameter count” than even the largest LLMs (although there’s no 1:1 comparison of neurons to parameters), such that even if my laptop has enough electricity coursing through it to emulate a human brain, it hasn’t got anywhere near enough VRAM. It could be that both AIs and humans are systematically inefficient in some way that, if we understood it, could allow us to produce a more capable general intelligence at <1% the scale of either. But I’m not sure why one would expect this, or what principles imply it.
I’m skeptical that this is true, or at least that it could be confidently predicted to be true based on our current understanding of intelligence. My understanding is that the human brain is much larger in “effective parameter count” than even the largest LLMs (although there’s no 1:1 comparison of neurons to parameters), such that even if my laptop has enough electricity coursing through it to emulate a human brain, it hasn’t got anywhere near enough VRAM. It could be that both AIs and humans are systematically inefficient in some way that, if we understood it, could allow us to produce a more capable general intelligence at <1% the scale of either. But I’m not sure why one would expect this, or what principles imply it.