The core reason for holding the belief is because the world does not look to me like there’s little low hanging fruit in a variety of domains of knowledge I have thought about over the years. Of course it’s generally not that easy to argue for the value of ideas that the mainstream does not care about publically.
I find it curious that none of my ideas have a following in academia or have been reinvented/rediscovered by academia (including the most influential ones so far UDT, UDASSA, b-money). Not really complaining, as they’re already more popular than I had expected (Holden Karnofsky talked extensively about UDASSA on an 80,000 Hour podcast, which surprised me), it just seems strange that the popularity stops right at academia’s door.
If you look at the broader field of rationality, the work of Judea Pearl and that of Tetlock both could have been done twenty years earlier. Conceptually, I think you can argue that their work was some of the most important work that was done in the last decades.
Judea Pearl writes about how allergic people were against the idea of factoring in counterfactuals and causality.
The core reason for holding the belief is because the world does not look to me like there’s little low hanging fruit in a variety of domains of knowledge I have thought about over the years. Of course it’s generally not that easy to argue for the value of ideas that the mainstream does not care about publically.
Wei Dei recently wrote:
If you look at the broader field of rationality, the work of Judea Pearl and that of Tetlock both could have been done twenty years earlier. Conceptually, I think you can argue that their work was some of the most important work that was done in the last decades.
Judea Pearl writes about how allergic people were against the idea of factoring in counterfactuals and causality.