That doesn’t extinguish the record of the bet, whoever is the heir to their assets would still be responsible for settling the bet, maybe not at the full amount, but some settlement would still be necessary.
And who knows, maybe the evidence of aliens is just deniable enough that it doesn’t cost reputation to claim a win.
LOL! If you think an executor (or worse, an heir if the estate is already settled) is going to pay $100K to a rando based on a 5-year old less-wrong post, you have a VERY different model of humanity than I do. Even more so if the estate didn’t include any mention of it or money earmarked for it.
How do the desires of possible executors/heirs/etc. factor into this?
Clearly the bet will not auto-extinguish and auto-erase itself regardless of the future desires of anyone.
If you thought I implied that the bet must be settled in purely monetary terms, that wasn’t my intention. It’s entirely possible for the majority, or entirety, of the bet to be settled with non-monetary currencies, such as social-status, reputation, etc…
It’s just not all that likely for someone, or their successors, to insist on going down that path.
That doesn’t extinguish the record of the bet, whoever is the heir to their assets would still be responsible for settling the bet, maybe not at the full amount, but some settlement would still be necessary.
That’s already factored into the odds.
LOL! If you think an executor (or worse, an heir if the estate is already settled) is going to pay $100K to a rando based on a 5-year old less-wrong post, you have a VERY different model of humanity than I do. Even more so if the estate didn’t include any mention of it or money earmarked for it.
How do the desires of possible executors/heirs/etc. factor into this?
Clearly the bet will not auto-extinguish and auto-erase itself regardless of the future desires of anyone.
If you thought I implied that the bet must be settled in purely monetary terms, that wasn’t my intention. It’s entirely possible for the majority, or entirety, of the bet to be settled with non-monetary currencies, such as social-status, reputation, etc…
It’s just not all that likely for someone, or their successors, to insist on going down that path.