Examples of truth-seeking making you “give reasons for X” even though you don’t “believe X”: - Everyone believes X is 2% but you think X is 15% because of reasons they aren’t considering, and you tell them why - Everyone believes X is 2%. You do science and tell everyone all your findings, some of which support X (and some of which don’t support X).
We should bet on moonshots (low chance, high EV). This is what venture capitalists and startup founders do. I imagine this is what some artists, philosophers, comedians, and hipsters do as well, and I think it is truth-tending on net. But I hate the norm that champions should lie. Instead, champions should only say untrue things if everyone knows the norms around that. Like lawyers in court or comedians on stage, or all fiction.
Yeah, championing seems to border on deception, bullshitting, or even lying. But the group rationality argument says that it can be optimal when a few members of a group “over focus” (from an individual perspective) on an issue. These pull in different directions.
Examples of truth-seeking making you “give reasons for X” even though you don’t “believe X”:
- Everyone believes X is 2% but you think X is 15% because of reasons they aren’t considering, and you tell them why
- Everyone believes X is 2%. You do science and tell everyone all your findings, some of which support X (and some of which don’t support X).
We should bet on moonshots (low chance, high EV). This is what venture capitalists and startup founders do. I imagine this is what some artists, philosophers, comedians, and hipsters do as well, and I think it is truth-tending on net.
But I hate the norm that champions should lie. Instead, champions should only say untrue things if everyone knows the norms around that. Like lawyers in court or comedians on stage, or all fiction.
Yeah, championing seems to border on deception, bullshitting, or even lying. But the group rationality argument says that it can be optimal when a few members of a group “over focus” (from an individual perspective) on an issue. These pull in different directions.