I think that what you said here and elsewhere could boil down to two different views:
Going from 1 position to 3 position in probabilities sense is ontologically impossible, period. No meaningful probability updates.
We need to take hard look on what is “I”, “observer”, and “typical”, and only after we clearly define them, we could said something meaningful about probabilities.
I tend here to agree with the second view, and I explored different aspects of it in some of my posts.
I’m not sure what 1 position and 3 position mean here. I would summarize my argument as the first-person perspective is based on subjective experience. It is a primitive notion that cannot be logically analyzed. Just like in Euclidean geometry we can’t analyze any of its axioms. Take then as given, that’s it.
All the rest, like no self-locating probability, perspective disagreement, rejection of doomsday argument and presumptuous philosopher, double-halving in sleeping beauty, and rejection of fine-tuned universe, are just conclusions based on that.
Well in that case yes. 3rd person’s perspective is just a shorthand for the perspective of a god’s eye view. We should not switch perspectives halfway in any given analysis.
I think that what you said here and elsewhere could boil down to two different views:
Going from 1 position to 3 position in probabilities sense is ontologically impossible, period. No meaningful probability updates.
We need to take hard look on what is “I”, “observer”, and “typical”, and only after we clearly define them, we could said something meaningful about probabilities.
I tend here to agree with the second view, and I explored different aspects of it in some of my posts.
I’m not sure what 1 position and 3 position mean here. I would summarize my argument as the first-person perspective is based on subjective experience. It is a primitive notion that cannot be logically analyzed. Just like in Euclidean geometry we can’t analyze any of its axioms. Take then as given, that’s it.
All the rest, like no self-locating probability, perspective disagreement, rejection of doomsday argument and presumptuous philosopher, double-halving in sleeping beauty, and rejection of fine-tuned universe, are just conclusions based on that.
1 position = first-person perspective, 3 position = third-person perspective
Well in that case yes. 3rd person’s perspective is just a shorthand for the perspective of a god’s eye view. We should not switch perspectives halfway in any given analysis.