It is like Laplace sunrise problem: everyday the sun have risen is a small bit of evidence that it more likely to rise again. The same way if the world didn’t end today, it is a small evidence that allows to extend our expected doomsday date.
[edited]
Why?
It is like Laplace sunrise problem: everyday the sun have risen is a small bit of evidence that it more likely to rise again. The same way if the world didn’t end today, it is a small evidence that allows to extend our expected doomsday date.
[edited]
Why?