It’s instrumentally rational if you value money linearly in this range and assign less than about 9% probability that Omega is playing game A. There’s not enough information to determine if that probability assignment is rational.
But remember this about Omega: sure as you stand there you’re going to wind up with an ear full of cider.
In a few days, I’ll upload a paper I’m currently working on. We’ll discuss the efficacy of your solution then. Is it really rational?
It’s instrumentally rational if you value money linearly in this range and assign less than about 9% probability that Omega is playing game A. There’s not enough information to determine if that probability assignment is rational.
But remember this about Omega: sure as you stand there you’re going to wind up with an ear full of cider.