Hmm yea gameability might not be so interesting of a property of metrics as I’ve expressed.
(though I still feel there is something in there. Fixing your calibration chart after the fact by predicting one-sided coins dice is maybe a lot like taking a foot off the bathroom scale. But, for example, predicting every event as a constant p%, is that even cheating in the calibration game? Though neither of these directly applies to the case of prediction market platforms)
Hmm yea gameability might not be so interesting of a property of metrics as I’ve expressed.
(though I still feel there is something in there. Fixing your calibration chart after the fact by predicting one-sided
coinsdice is maybe a lot like taking a foot off the bathroom scale. But, for example, predicting every event as a constant p%, is that even cheating in the calibration game? Though neither of these directly applies to the case of prediction market platforms)