What I’m going towards is, it seems to me the predictions given by the platform can be almost arbitrarily bad, but with some assumptions the above strategy will work and will make the platform calibrated. So calibration does not imply anything about goodness of predictions. So it’s not impressive.
What I’m going towards is, it seems to me the predictions given by the platform can be almost arbitrarily bad, but with some assumptions the above strategy will work and will make the platform calibrated. So calibration does not imply anything about goodness of predictions. So it’s not impressive.