I consider myself broadly aligned with rationalism, though with a strong preference for skeptical consequentialism than overconfident utilitarianism
OK, thanks for the information! By the way, I would say that most people active on Less Wrong, disagree with some of the propositions that are considered to be characteristic of the Less Wrong brand of rationalism. Disagreement doesn’t have to be a problem. What set off my alarms was your adversarial debut—the rationalists are being irrational! Anyway, my opinion on that doesn’t matter since I have no authority here, I’m just another commenter.
The rationalist community is extremely influential in both AI development and AI policy. Do you disagree?
It was. It still has influence, but e/acc is in charge now. That’s my take.
If you couldn’t forecast the Republicans would be in favor of less regulation
If they actually saw AI as the creation of a rival to the human race, they might have a different attitude. Then again, it’s not as if that’s why the Democrats favored regulation, either.
Qwen … Manus
I feel like Qwen is being hyped. And isn’t Manus just Claude in a wrapper? But fine, maybe I should put Alibaba next to DeepSeek in my growing list of contenders to create superintelligence, which is the thing I really care about.
But back to the actual topic. If Gwern or Zvi or Connor Leahy want to comment on why they said what they did, or how their thinking has evolved, that would have some interest. It would also be of interest to know where certain specific framings, like “China doesn’t want to race, so it’s up to America to stop and make a deal”, came from. I guess it might have come from politically minded EAs, rather than from rationalism per se, but that’s just a guess. It might even come from somewhere entirely outside the EA/LW nexus.
OK, thanks for the information! By the way, I would say that most people active on Less Wrong, disagree with some of the propositions that are considered to be characteristic of the Less Wrong brand of rationalism. Disagreement doesn’t have to be a problem. What set off my alarms was your adversarial debut—the rationalists are being irrational! Anyway, my opinion on that doesn’t matter since I have no authority here, I’m just another commenter.
It was. It still has influence, but e/acc is in charge now. That’s my take.
If they actually saw AI as the creation of a rival to the human race, they might have a different attitude. Then again, it’s not as if that’s why the Democrats favored regulation, either.
I feel like Qwen is being hyped. And isn’t Manus just Claude in a wrapper? But fine, maybe I should put Alibaba next to DeepSeek in my growing list of contenders to create superintelligence, which is the thing I really care about.
But back to the actual topic. If Gwern or Zvi or Connor Leahy want to comment on why they said what they did, or how their thinking has evolved, that would have some interest. It would also be of interest to know where certain specific framings, like “China doesn’t want to race, so it’s up to America to stop and make a deal”, came from. I guess it might have come from politically minded EAs, rather than from rationalism per se, but that’s just a guess. It might even come from somewhere entirely outside the EA/LW nexus.