I thought about it more. The key question of whether or not there was a war was about whether there would be a possible compromise that both sides could live with.
To predict that you would need to look at the political situation and public opinion in Ukraine and Russia.
In Ukraine, it’s very unlikely that anything that gives Donbas and Luhansk more autonomy would be able to pass parliament even if Ukraine’s president wanted it.
Given how the Russian media reported on Donbas and Luhansk, the image that Russians of what had happened in Donbas and Luhansk necessitated Russia to take action.
I thought about it more. The key question of whether or not there was a war was about whether there would be a possible compromise that both sides could live with.
To predict that you would need to look at the political situation and public opinion in Ukraine and Russia.
In Ukraine, it’s very unlikely that anything that gives Donbas and Luhansk more autonomy would be able to pass parliament even if Ukraine’s president wanted it.
Given how the Russian media reported on Donbas and Luhansk, the image that Russians of what had happened in Donbas and Luhansk necessitated Russia to take action.