The argument is not really about “AGI happening”. It is about the speed of improvement of which Anthropic’s revenue growth is a measure. What is circular is not the argument, it is the definition of AGI. If you taboo “AGI” you are left with “at current revenue growth Claude will take over huge parts of the economy in the next couple of years”. Which is really all Thomas was saying.
There is not really any problem with the structure of the argument, just with the term AGI.
The argument is not really about “AGI happening”. It is about the speed of improvement of which Anthropic’s revenue growth is a measure. What is circular is not the argument, it is the definition of AGI. If you taboo “AGI” you are left with “at current revenue growth Claude will take over huge parts of the economy in the next couple of years”. Which is really all Thomas was saying.
There is not really any problem with the structure of the argument, just with the term AGI.
this is the the edit i am requesting, yes.