I somewhat agree, but I also do think “apply your Bayesian reasoning to figuring out what hypotheses to privilege” is how people decide which structural hypotheses (ontology) describe the world better. So I feel you’re taking an overly narrow view. Like, for scheming, you ask how these different notions inform what you can observe, the way the AI behaves, and methods to avoid it.
I somewhat agree, but I also do think “apply your Bayesian reasoning to figuring out what hypotheses to privilege” is how people decide which structural hypotheses (ontology) describe the world better. So I feel you’re taking an overly narrow view. Like, for scheming, you ask how these different notions inform what you can observe, the way the AI behaves, and methods to avoid it.